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Share markets have generally produced higher investment returns than residential property over the long term.
Theoretically, if you rent a property and invest your money in quality shares you should be wealthier than those who concentrate on paying off their homes. However, the discipline of meeting regular mortgage payments and gradually taking ownership of a tangible asset means that homeowners usually fare better financially than those who rent.
Higher risk, lower return than shares?
Beware though: a strong preference for property can lead to over-investment. Investing in residential property other than your family home is likely to result in higher risk and lower returns than investing in quality shares.
An economy in which business is performing well is likely to be one in which the property market is also growing. One of the main reasons that shares outperform property over long periods is that demand for property, in a market-based economy, is derived from the success of business. Thriving businesses create demand for commercial and residential property, both through their own expansion needs and through the attractive salaries they pay their staff who often use the money to upgrade their properties.
Of course, the business cycle and the property market do not work in perfect harmony. There are periods of economic stagnation in which the property market enjoys a ‘catch-up’ boom and periods of recovery in which it goes through a down cycle.
Risks of investing in property understated
On average, the risks of investing in property are understated and the returns are overstated. As a result investors pour too much money into residential property, forcing prices higher than they would be if they accounted fully for the potential risks and returns investors are likely to experience.
Why then are property risks understated? Property seems easy to understand, so investors may have a perception of control. The truth is that property is able to elicit an emotional response unlike owning shares or bonds which lack the sense of substance and permanence that attracts people to property.
Just as important, the pricing of residential property is infrequent and informal. Property investors never see red ink on a statement unless it is on the day of the sale. Also, most property investors never formally evaluate the performance of their investments at all. Imagine if you looked in a newspaper at the price of your home each day, just as you do with the price of your shares. Your attitude to risk would most likely be quite different.
Returns from property are generally overstated, further narrowing the risk/return trade-off
Returns achieved from property are also generally overstated which has the effect of further narrowing the risk/return trade-off for the asset. Indices that measure property market performance generally only capture the increase in the sale price of existing dwellings, but fail to take into account major developments in a nation’s housing stock.
Share investors can effectively ‘buy the market’ and participate in its long-term performance, because of the ready availability of accumulation indices that are net of costs incurred in achieving gains. Investors can’t ‘buy’ the return of the residential property market like this because the sales measures available are gross of costs such as construction outlays.
In practical terms investing in residential property has its own risks, not unlike investing in a single stock. While these risks can be mitigated through research into location, quality of property and so on, opportunities for broad diversification and protection of a residential property investment portfolio are more restricted.
The one main advantage of investing in residential property is that individual investors with time on their hands have a greater ability to add value to their investment. For many people, buying a family home is their one truly effective means of saving. But for the amateur investor who does not wish to become a property investor, investing in a residential property is likely to be expensive, more time-consuming and riskier than investing in a well-managed, diversified share portfolio. And it will probably yield a lower return too.
Common myths of property investment in every boom
Arun Abey is a co-founder of acsis and international strategic adviser.
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